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On the Desiccation of the South Aral Sea Observed from Spaceborne Missions

Singh, Alka, Behrangi, Ali, Fisher, Joshua B., and Reager, John T., 2018. On the Desiccation of the South Aral Sea Observed from Spaceborne Missions. Remote Sensing, 10(5):793, doi:10.3390/rs10050793.

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@ARTICLE{2018RemS...10..793S,
       author = {{Singh}, Alka and {Behrangi}, Ali and {Fisher}, Joshua B. and {Reager}, John T.},
        title = "{On the Desiccation of the South Aral Sea Observed from Spaceborne Missions}",
      journal = {Remote Sensing},
     keywords = {lake level, lake volume, evaporation, streamflow, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), altimetry, Landsat, Aral Sea},
         year = 2018,
        month = may,
       volume = {10},
       number = {5},
          eid = {793},
        pages = {793},
     abstract = "{The South Aral Sea has been massively affected by the implementation of
        a mega-irrigation project in the region, but ground-based
        observations have monitored the Sea poorly. This study is a
        comprehensive analysis of the mass balance of the South Aral Sea
        and its basin, using multiple instruments from ground and space.
        We estimate lake volume, evaporation from the lake, and the Amu
        Darya streamflow into the lake using strengths offered by
        various remote-sensing data. We also diagnose the attribution
        behind the shrinking of the lake and its possible future fate.
        Terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations observed by the
        Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission from the
        Aral Sea region can approximate water level of the East Aral Sea
        with good accuracy (1.8\% normalized root mean square error
        (RMSE), and 0.9 correlation) against altimetry observations.
        Evaporation from the lake is back-calculated by integrating
        altimetry-based lake volume, in situ streamflow, and Global
        Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) precipitation.
        Different evapotranspiration (ET) products (Global Land Data
        Assimilation System (GLDAS), the Water Gap Hydrological Model
        (WGHM)), and Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer
        (MODIS) Global Evapotranspiration Project (MOD16) significantly
        underestimate the evaporation from the lake. However, another
        MODIS based Priestley-Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL)
        ET estimate shows remarkably high consistency (0.76 correlation)
        with our estimate (based on the water-budget equation). Further,
        streamflow is approximated by integrating lake volume variation,
        PT-JPL ET, and GPCP datasets. In another approach, the
        deseasonalized GRACE signal from the Amu Darya basin was also
        found to approximate streamflow and predict extreme flow into
        the lake by one or two months. They can be used for water
        resource management in the Amu Darya delta. The spatiotemporal
        pattern in the Amu Darya basin shows that terrestrial water
        storage (TWS) in the central region (predominantly in the
        primary irrigation belt other than delta) has increased. This
        increase can be attributed to enhanced infiltration, as ET and
        vegetation index (i.e., normalized difference vegetation index
        (NDVI)) from the area has decreased. The additional infiltration
        might be an indication of worsening of the canal structures and
        leakage in the area. The study shows how altimetry, optical
        images, gravimetric and other ancillary observations can
        collectively help to study the desiccating Aral Sea and its
        basin. A similar method can be used to explore other desiccating
        lakes.}",
          doi = {10.3390/rs10050793},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2018RemS...10..793S},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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