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Developing a Complex Independent Component Analysis (CICA) Technique to Extract Non-stationary Patterns from Geophysical Time Series

Forootan, Ehsan, Kusche, Jürgen, Talpe, Matthieu, Shum, C. K., and Schmidt, Michael, 2018. Developing a Complex Independent Component Analysis (CICA) Technique to Extract Non-stationary Patterns from Geophysical Time Series. Surveys in Geophysics, 39(3):435–465, doi:10.1007/s10712-017-9451-1.

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@ARTICLE{2018SGeo...39..435F,
       author = {{Forootan}, Ehsan and {Kusche}, J{\"u}rgen and {Talpe}, Matthieu and {Shum}, C.~K. and {Schmidt}, Michael},
        title = "{Developing a Complex Independent Component Analysis (CICA) Technique to Extract Non-stationary Patterns from Geophysical Time Series}",
      journal = {Surveys in Geophysics},
     keywords = {Independent component analysis (ICA), Complex ICA (CICA), Time series analysis, Signal separation, Non-stationary decomposition, Terrestrial water storage (TWS), Sea surface temperature (SST)},
         year = 2018,
        month = may,
       volume = {39},
       number = {3},
        pages = {435-465},
     abstract = "{In recent decades, decomposition techniques have enabled increasingly
        more applications for dimension reduction, as well as extraction
        of additional information from geophysical time series.
        Traditionally, the principal component analysis (PCA)/empirical
        orthogonal function (EOF) method and more recently the
        independent component analysis (ICA) have been applied to
        extract, statistical orthogonal (uncorrelated), and independent
        modes that represent the maximum variance of time series,
        respectively. PCA and ICA can be classified as stationary signal
        decomposition techniques since they are based on decomposing the
        autocovariance matrix and diagonalizing higher (than two) order
        statistical tensors from centered time series, respectively.
        However, the stationarity assumption in these techniques is not
        justified for many geophysical and climate variables even after
        removing cyclic components, e.g., the commonly removed dominant
        seasonal cycles. In this paper, we present a novel decomposition
        method, the complex independent component analysis (CICA), which
        can be applied to extract non-stationary (changing in space and
        time) patterns from geophysical time series. Here, CICA is
        derived as an extension of real-valued ICA, where (a) we first
        define a new complex dataset that contains the observed time
        series in its real part, and their Hilbert transformed series as
        its imaginary part, (b) an ICA algorithm based on
        diagonalization of fourth-order cumulants is then applied to
        decompose the new complex dataset in (a), and finally, (c) the
        dominant independent complex modes are extracted and used to
        represent the dominant space and time amplitudes and associated
        phase propagation patterns. The performance of CICA is examined
        by analyzing synthetic data constructed from multiple physically
        meaningful modes in a simulation framework, with known truth.
        Next, global terrestrial water storage (TWS) data from the
        Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) gravimetry
        mission (2003{\textendash}2016), and satellite radiometric sea
        surface temperature (SST) data (1982{\textendash}2016) over the
        Atlantic and Pacific Oceans are used with the aim of
        demonstrating signal separations of the North Atlantic
        Oscillation (NAO) from the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation
        (AMO), and the El Ni{\~n}o Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the
        Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). CICA results indicate that
        ENSO-related patterns can be extracted from the Gravity Recovery
        And Climate Experiment Terrestrial Water Storage (GRACE TWS)
        with an accuracy of 0.5{\textendash}1 cm in terms of equivalent
        water height (EWH). The magnitude of errors in extracting NAO or
        AMO from SST data using the complex EOF (CEOF) approach reaches
        up to \raisebox{-0.5ex}\textasciitilde50\% of the signal itself,
        while it is reduced to \raisebox{-0.5ex}\textasciitilde16\% when
        applying CICA. Larger errors with magnitudes of
        \raisebox{-0.5ex}\textasciitilde100\% and
        \raisebox{-0.5ex}\textasciitilde30\% of the signal itself are
        found while separating ENSO from PDO using CEOF and CICA,
        respectively. We thus conclude that the CICA is more effective
        than CEOF in separating non-stationary patterns.}",
          doi = {10.1007/s10712-017-9451-1},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2018SGeo...39..435F},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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