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Reservoir-Induced Land Deformation: Case Study from the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Chen, Yu, Ahmed, Mohamed, Tangdamrongsub, Natthachet, and Murgulet, Dorina, 2021. Reservoir-Induced Land Deformation: Case Study from the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Remote Sensing, 13(5):874, doi:10.3390/rs13050874.

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@ARTICLE{2021RemS...13..874C,
       author = {{Chen}, Yu and {Ahmed}, Mohamed and {Tangdamrongsub}, Natthachet and {Murgulet}, Dorina},
        title = "{Reservoir-Induced Land Deformation: Case Study from the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam}",
      journal = {Remote Sensing},
     keywords = {GERD reservoir, GRACE-FO, vertical displacement, north displacement, east displacement, Nile Basin},
         year = 2021,
        month = feb,
       volume = {13},
       number = {5},
          eid = {874},
        pages = {874},
     abstract = "{The Nile River stretches from south to north throughout the Nile River
        Basin (NRB) in Northeast Africa. Ethiopia, where the Blue Nile
        originates, has begun the construction of the Grand Ethiopian
        Renaissance Dam (GERD), which will be used to generate
        electricity. However, the impact of the GERD on land deformation
        caused by significant water relocation has not been rigorously
        considered in the scientific research. In this study, we develop
        a novel approach for predicting large-scale land deformation
        induced by the construction of the GERD reservoir. We also
        investigate the limitations of using the Gravity Recovery and
        Climate Experiment Follow On (GRACE-FO) mission to detect GERD-
        induced land deformation. We simulated three land deformation
        scenarios related to filling the expected reservoir volume, 70
        km$^{3}$, using 5-, 10-, and 15-year filling scenarios. The
        results indicated: (i) trends in downward vertical displacement
        estimated at -17.79 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.02, -8.90
        {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.09, and -5.94 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.05
        mm/year, for the 5-, 10-, and 15-year filling scenarios,
        respectively; (ii) the western (eastern) parts of the GERD
        reservoir are estimated to move toward the reservoir's center by
        +0.98 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.01 (-0.98 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.01),
        +0.48 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.00 (-0.48 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.00),
        and +0.33 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.00 (-0.33 {\ensuremath{\pm}}
        0.00) mm/year, under the 5-, 10- and 15-year filling strategies,
        respectively; (iii) the northern part of the GERD reservoir is
        moving southward by +1.28 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.02, +0.64
        {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.01, and +0.43 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.00
        mm/year, while the southern part is moving northward by -3.75
        {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.04, -1.87 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.02, and
        -1.25 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.01 mm/year, during the three examined
        scenarios, respectively; and (iv) the GRACE-FO mission can only
        detect 15\% of the large-scale land deformation produced by the
        GERD reservoir. Methods and results demonstrated in this study
        provide insights into possible impacts of reservoir impoundment
        on land surface deformation, which can be adopted into the GERD
        project or similar future dam construction plans.}",
          doi = {10.3390/rs13050874},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2021RemS...13..874C},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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