Thu Dec 12, F.Flechtner
• Sorted by Date • Sorted by Last Name of First Author •
Wei, Wei, Wang, Jiping, Wang, Xufeng, Song, Yongze, Sherif, Mohsen, Wang, Xiangyu, Dewan, Ashraf, Ram, Omri Y., Yan, Peng, Liu, Ting, Lu, Dang, Guo, Yongfan, and Li, Yingqiang, 2024. Assessing the stability of terrestrial water storage to drought based on CMIP6 forcing scenarios. Journal of Hydrology, 645:132232, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132232.
• from the NASA Astrophysics Data System • by the DOI System •
@ARTICLE{2024JHyd..64532232W,
author = {{Wei}, Wei and {Wang}, Jiping and {Wang}, Xufeng and {Song}, Yongze and {Sherif}, Mohsen and {Wang}, Xiangyu and {Dewan}, Ashraf and {Ram}, Omri Y. and {Yan}, Peng and {Liu}, Ting and {Lu}, Dang and {Guo}, Yongfan and {Li}, Yingqiang},
title = "{Assessing the stability of terrestrial water storage to drought based on CMIP6 forcing scenarios}",
journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
keywords = {Drought, Terrestrial water storage, Global warming, STVPI, CMIP6, CMIP6, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, WCRP, World Climate Research Program, GCMs, global climate models, TWS, Terrestrial water storage, ST, surface temperature, LAI, leaf area index, P, precipitation, STVPI, standardized temperature vegetation precipitation index, MDIs, meteorological drought indices, GRACE, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, GLDAS, Global Land Data Assimilation Systems, SPI, Standardized Precipitation Index, SPEI, Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, SDM, spatial distance model, MME, Multi-Model Ensemble, ED, Extreme drought, SD, Severe drought, MOD, Moderate drought, MID, Mild drought, TZ, Tropical zones, DZ, Dry zone, WTZ, Warm temperate zone, CTZ, Cold temperate zone, PZ, Polar zone},
year = 2024,
month = dec,
volume = {645},
eid = {132232},
pages = {132232},
abstract = "{Assessing the stability of terrestrial water storage (TWS) under drought
conditions is critical for the sustainable development of water
resources. In this study, we integrated surface temperature
(ST), leaf area index (LAI), and precipitation (P) data from
five different scenarios (History, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0,
and SSP5-8.5) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase
6 (CMIP6) to develop a standardized temperature vegetation
precipitation index (STVPI). The index was then utilized to
monitor global drought conditions and investigate the stability
of TWS to drought disaster. The results showed that STVPI can
not only monitor meteorological drought, but also has a
remarkable sensitivity and applicability to drought caused by
sparse vegetation. Notably, 21.16\% of the global land area will
have a drought trend under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, while it will
rise to 35.81\% under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, which underscored
the potential for an expansion of drought-affected regions
worldwide as a result of ongoing global warming and escalating
emissions. In addition, the results also found that the warm
temperate and tropical regions at lower elevations have an
advantage in maintaining the stability of TWS. Unfortunately,
the stability of TWS to drought will decline in the western
Sahara Desert, central China and northern United States in the
future, where will face a serious water crisis. The research
framework provides an important reference for deeply evaluating
and scientifically allocating water resources under climate
change.}",
doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132232},
adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2024JHyd..64532232W},
adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}
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