GRACE and GRACE-FO Related Publications (no abstracts)

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Multidecadal drought impacts on the Lower Colorado Basin with implications for future management

Scanlon, Bridget R., Pool, Donald R., Rateb, Ashraf, Conway, Brian, Sorensen, Kathryn, Udall, Bradley, and Reedy, Robert C., 2025. Multidecadal drought impacts on the Lower Colorado Basin with implications for future management. Communications Earth and Environment, 6(1):214, doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02149-9.

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BibTeX

@ARTICLE{2025ComEE...6..214S,
       author = {{Scanlon}, Bridget R. and {Pool}, Donald R. and {Rateb}, Ashraf and {Conway}, Brian and {Sorensen}, Kathryn and {Udall}, Bradley and {Reedy}, Robert C.},
        title = "{Multidecadal drought impacts on the Lower Colorado Basin with implications for future management}",
      journal = {Communications Earth and Environment},
     keywords = {Earth Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience},
         year = 2025,
        month = mar,
       volume = {6},
       number = {1},
          eid = {214},
        pages = {214},
     abstract = "{Overallocation of Colorado River water and groundwater alongside
        multidecadal drought underscore the need to understand water-
        resource dynamics. Here we assess water-storage variations using
        satellites, regional modeling, and monitoring to inform future
        management. Total water storage loss from Gravity Recovery and
        Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites was dominated by Lower
        Basin declines (80\% of total), exceeding Lake Mead capacity by
        40\%. These Lower Basin storage declines were dominated by
        groundwater depletion (60\% of total), with cumulative depletion
        hotspots {\ensuremath{\leq}}11 m (2002{\textendash}2023) and
        subsidence {\ensuremath{\leq}}1 m (2010{\textendash}2024).
        Regional groundwater modeling shows intensive depletion
        (1940s{\textendash}1970s) followed by partial recovery since the
        early 1980s from irrigation reduction, wet climate cycles (early
        1980s{\textendash}1990s), and Colorado River water transfers to
        Central Arizona. Managed aquifer recharge and incidental
        recharge from imported surface-water irrigation led to a 3-m
        average groundwater-level rise in Central Arizona Active
        Management Areas (2000{\textendash}2023). Projected declines in
        Colorado River water transfers to Central Arizona could lead to
        further depletion and subsidence. Water transfers from
        agricultural to municipal/industrial sectors would improve
        future management. Understanding system dynamics related to
        climate and human drivers is essential for developing future
        conjunctive surface-water and groundwater management strategies.}",
          doi = {10.1038/s43247-025-02149-9},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025ComEE...6..214S},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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