Publications related to the GRACE Missions (no abstracts)

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Machine-learning-based reconstruction of long-term global terrestrial water storage anomalies from observed, satellite and land-surface model data

Mandal, Nehar, Das, Prabal, and Chanda, Kironmala, 2025. Machine-learning-based reconstruction of long-term global terrestrial water storage anomalies from observed, satellite and land-surface model data. Earth System Science Data, 17(6):2575–2604, doi:10.5194/essd-17-2575-2025.

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BibTeX

@ARTICLE{2025ESSD...17.2575M,
       author = {{Mandal}, Nehar and {Das}, Prabal and {Chanda}, Kironmala},
        title = "{Machine-learning-based reconstruction of long-term global terrestrial water storage anomalies from observed, satellite and land-surface model data}",
      journal = {Earth System Science Data},
         year = 2025,
        month = jun,
       volume = {17},
       number = {6},
        pages = {2575-2604},
     abstract = "{Understanding long-term terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations is
        vital for investigating hydrological extreme events, managing
        water resources and assessing climate change impacts. However,
        the limited data duration from the Gravity Recovery and Climate
        Experiment (GRACE) and its follow-on mission (GRACE-FO) poses
        challenges for comprehensive long-term analysis. In this study,
        we reconstruct TWS anomalies (TWSAs) for the period from January
        1960 to December 2022, thereby filling data gaps between the
        GRACE and GRACE-FO missions and generating a complete dataset
        for the pre-GRACE era. The workflow involves identifying optimal
        predictors from land surface model (LSM) outputs, meteorological
        variables and climatic indices using a novel Bayesian network
        (BN) technique for raster-based TWSA simulations. Climate
        indices, like the Oceanic Ni{\~n}o Index and Dipole Mode Index,
        are selected as optimal predictors for a large number of grid
        cells globally, along with TWSAs from LSM outputs. The most
        effective machine learning (ML) algorithms among convolutional
        neural network (CNN), support vector regression (SVR), extra
        trees regressor (ETR) and stacking ensemble regression (SER)
        models are evaluated at each grid cell to achieve optimal
        reproducibility. Globally, ETR performs best for most of the
        grid cells; this is also noticed at the river basin scale,
        particularly for the Ganga-Brahmaputra-Meghna, Godavari,
        Krishna, Limpopo and Nile river basins. The simulated TWSAs
        (BNML\_TWSA) outperformed the TWSAs from LSM outputs when
        evaluated against GRACE datasets. Improvements are particularly
        noted in river basins such as the Godavari, Krishna, Danube and
        Amazon, with median correlation coefficient, Nash-Sutcliffe
        efficiency, and RMSE values for all grid cells in the Godavari
        Basin, India, being 0.927, 0.839 and 63.7 mm, respectively. A
        comparison with TWSAs reconstructed in recent studies indicates
        that the proposed BNML\_TWSA outperforms them globally as well
        as for all of the 11 major river basins examined. Furthermore,
        the uncertainty of BNML\_TWSA is assessed for each grid cell in
        terms of the standard error. Results show smaller standard error
        magnitudes in grid cells in arid regions compared to other
        regions. The presented gridded dataset is published at
        https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.25376695 , featuring a
        spatial resolution of 0.50{\textdegree} {\texttimes}
        0.50{\textdegree} and offering global coverage.}",
          doi = {10.5194/essd-17-2575-2025},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025ESSD...17.2575M},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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