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Recent disappearing and re–excited Earth's Chandler wobble: contributions from GRACE/GFO hydrological and cryospheric mass changes

Shi, Qiqi, Zhou, Yonghong, Chen, Jianli, and Xu, Xueqing, 2025. Recent disappearing and re–excited Earth's Chandler wobble: contributions from GRACE/GFO hydrological and cryospheric mass changes. Journal of Geodesy, 99(12):97, doi:10.1007/s00190-025-02021-w.

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@ARTICLE{2025JGeod..99...97S,
       author = {{Shi}, Qiqi and {Zhou}, Yonghong and {Chen}, Jianli and {Xu}, Xueqing},
        title = "{Recent disappearing and re-excited Earth's Chandler wobble: contributions from GRACE/GFO hydrological and cryospheric mass changes}",
      journal = {Journal of Geodesy},
     keywords = {Earth's Chandler wobble, Hydrology, Cryosphere, Satellite gravity, Earth Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience},
         year = 2025,
        month = nov,
       volume = {99},
       number = {12},
          eid = {97},
        pages = {97},
     abstract = "{Geophysical sources and processes that excite the Earth's Chandler
        wobble (CW) have long been debated. Significant discrepancies
        remain at times between geophysical fluid models, especially
        regarding inaccurate hydrological and cryospheric estimates, and
        observed CW series. Recently, the CW experienced anomalous
        behavior after 2015, with a disappearance and a re-excitation.
        Understanding hydrological and cryospheric effects on the CW and
        their contributions to this anomaly requires urgent
        investigation. Utilizing the Gravity Recovery and Climate
        Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GFO) measurements, we
        reconstruct the CW series contributed from the hydrology and
        cryosphere for the GRACE period (April 2002 to December 2015)
        and GFO period (June 2018 to December 2024), respectively. We
        find that GRACE/GFO measurements can capture more accurate
        hydrological and cryospheric forcing CW signals than models. For
        the first time, our reconstructed results successfully account
        for the recent observed disappearing and re-excited CW
        phenomenon. Considering global mass conservation associated with
        barystatic sea-level changes, the GRACE/GFO-derived hydrological
        and cryospheric effects agree well with geodetic CW
        observations. The absence of hydrological and cryospheric
        contributions on the reconstructed CW would lead to the
        unmanifested CW re-excitation phenomenon. Additionally, the
        relative contributions of the hydrology and cryosphere to CW
        amplitudes exhibit temporal variability, with ratios of
        approximately 3 to 1 and 2 to 1 during the GRACE and GFO
        periods, respectively. These findings improve our understanding
        of the Earth's rotational dynamics under climate change in
        relation to the effects of hydrological and cryospheric
        processes.}",
          doi = {10.1007/s00190-025-02021-w},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JGeod..99...97S},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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