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Changes and drivers of long-term land evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River Basin: A water balance perspective

Bai, Hongbing, Zhong, Yulong, Ma, Ning, Kong, Dongdong, Mao, Yuna, Feng, Wei, Wu, Yunlong, and Zhong, Min, 2025. Changes and drivers of long-term land evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River Basin: A water balance perspective. Journal of Hydrology, 653:132763, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132763.

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@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..65332763B,
       author = {{Bai}, Hongbing and {Zhong}, Yulong and {Ma}, Ning and {Kong}, Dongdong and {Mao}, Yuna and {Feng}, Wei and {Wu}, Yunlong and {Zhong}, Min},
        title = "{Changes and drivers of long-term land evapotranspiration in the Yangtze River Basin: A water balance perspective}",
      journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
     keywords = {Evapotranspiration, Water Balance, terrestrial water storage, GRACE, Yangtze River basin},
         year = 2025,
        month = jun,
       volume = {653},
          eid = {132763},
        pages = {132763},
     abstract = "{Evapotranspiration (ET) serves as a crucial indicator for understanding
        both global and regional water cycles and the impacts of climate
        change. Traditionally, water balance-based ET derived using
        satellite gravimetry, runoff and precipitation is considered as
        a benchmark for ET assessment. However, this method faces
        limitations in providing long-term, high temporal resolution ET
        estimates because of the relatively short observation period of
        the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites.
        To address this challenge, we reconstruct long-term terrestrial
        water storage change (TWSC) using statistical reconstruction and
        hydrological models. Then we estimate the long-term ET and its
        driving factors in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) using the water
        balance equation and ridge regression. Dividing the study period
        into three subperiods between the end of the 20th century and
        around 2015, ET in the upper and middle YRB exhibits a
        decreasing-rising-decreasing trend. ET and precipitation in the
        upper and middle YRB show an increasing trend throughout the
        entire study period, indicating an intensification of the water
        cycle in the YRB. ET changes over the past four decades are
        mainly driven by changes in surface vegetation cover and
        precipitation. This study provides valuable scientific
        references for the reproduction and prediction of the basin
        water cycle and the refinement of ET models under historical and
        different future climate scenarios.}",
          doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132763},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..65332763B},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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