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Characteristics of spatial and temporal non-stationarity of groundwater storage in different basins of China and its driving mechanisms

Yan, Feng, Zhang, Yuwen, Wang, Xinpeng, Xu, Zheng, Liang, Yuebing, Wang, Zongchao, Wang, Jiaxin, Chen, Yaheng, and Zhu, Zhenzhou, 2025. Characteristics of spatial and temporal non-stationarity of groundwater storage in different basins of China and its driving mechanisms. Journal of Hydrology, 655:132882, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132882.

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@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..65532882Y,
       author = {{Yan}, Feng and {Zhang}, Yuwen and {Wang}, Xinpeng and {Xu}, Zheng and {Liang}, Yuebing and {Wang}, Zongchao and {Wang}, Jiaxin and {Chen}, Yaheng and {Zhu}, Zhenzhou},
        title = "{Characteristics of spatial and temporal non-stationarity of groundwater storage in different basins of China and its driving mechanisms}",
      journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
     keywords = {GWSA, (Groundwater Storage Anomaly): Groundwater storage anomaly, indicating the amount of change in groundwater storage in millimetres (mm), TWSA, (Terrestrial Water Storage Anomaly): Terrestrial water storage anomaly, which indicates the amount of change in terrestrial water storage in millimetres (mm), SM, (Soil Moisture): The sum of soil water content data for 4 layers, including soil water content from 0 to 10 cm, from 10 to 40 cm, from 40 to 100 cm, and from 100 to 200 cm, in millimetres (mm), SWE, (Snow Water Equivalent): Snow Water Equivalent (SWE), which expresses the depth of water equivalent to the melting of snow in millimetres (mm), Pre, (Precipitation): Precipitation, which indicates the total amount of precipitation over a period of time, ET, (Evapotranspiration): Evapotranspiration, which indicates the total amount of water transpired by vegetation and evaporated from the soil, Tem, (Temperature): Temperature, which indicates air temperature in degrees Celsius ({\textdegree}C), LST, (Land Surface Temperature): Surface temperature, which indicates the temperature of the earth's surface in degrees centigrade ({\textdegree}C), X1-X18, Representing different drivers including Temperature、Annual cumulative precipitation、Land surface temperature、Elevation、Evaporation、Population density、Light intensity at night、GDP density、Grain production、GDP of primary sector、GDP of the secondary sector、GDP of the tertiary sector、0-100 cm soil porosity、100-200 cm soil porosity、Sand content of 0{\textendash}100 cm soil、Clay content of 0{\textendash}100 cm soil、Chalk content of 0{\textendash}100 cm soil、Land use type, GWSA, Spatio-temporal non-stationarity, Residual analysis, Optimal parameter geoprobe, China},
         year = 2025,
        month = jul,
       volume = {655},
          eid = {132882},
        pages = {132882},
     abstract = "{GWSA is a key resource for maintaining human survival and ecological
        balance, and changes in its reserves have far-reaching
        implications for regional socio-economic sustainable
        development. The continuous decline of GWSA in China over the
        past 20 years has become a serious challenge, especially in
        regions such as the Haihe River Basin. In order to reveal the
        characteristics of spatial and temporal instability of GWSA in
        different basins in China and its driving mechanism, and to
        achieve the sustainable use and protection of water resources,
        this study uses GRACE and GLDAS satellite remote sensing data,
        combines the methods of Sen Trend + MK test, Hurst index, cross-
        wavelet, residual analysis and parameter optimal geodetic
        detector to investigate the pattern of spatial and temporal
        distribution of GWSA in nine major basins of China and its
        influencing factors. The results show that: (1) between 2002 and
        2022, China's GWSA will decrease by an average of 2.10 mm/year,
        with the largest annual decrease rate in the Haihe River Basin
        (‑13.13 mm/a) and the largest increase rate in the Southeast
        Basin (2.13 mm/a); spatially, 70 \% of the region showed a
        decreasing trend, with severe losses in the central and
        northeastern parts of China and small increases in the southern
        and western parts of the country. It is predicted that half of
        China's regional GWSA will continue to decline in the future.
        (2) Monthly GWSA in different watersheds all showed a high
        correlation with monthly precipitation and evapotranspiration,
        and the ratio of potentially increasing area to decreasing area
        was 2:3. The anthropogenic improvement of GWSA accounted for
        61.72 \% of the increasing area and 50.13 \% of the decreasing
        area, which was an important driver of the spatial and temporal
        changes of GWSA.(3) The results of the Optimal Parametric
        Geodetector (OPGD) showed that GWSA in the Haihe River Basin was
        significantly affected by the GDP of the three industries, the
        grain output and the annual cumulative precipitation (q > 0.5),
        and the bilinear enhancement effect of the annual cumulative
        precipitation was the strongest with the GDP of the tertiary
        industry, the GDP of the secondary industry, the GDP of the
        primary industry, and the grain output, respectively, with q =
        0.8427, 0.8006, 0.7819, and 0.7563, and the higher content of
        soil sand volume is not conducive to the increase of GWSA, and
        moderate soil porosity and soil sand content are conducive to
        groundwater storage. The conclusions of the article provide an
        important reference for the scientific management of regional
        GWSA and policy formulation, especially in identifying and
        addressing the challenges of groundwater storage reduction by
        providing data support and research examples.}",
          doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132882},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..65532882Y},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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