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Spatial downscaling of GRACE terrestrial water storage anomalies for drought and flood potential assessment

Yin, Gaohong, Park, Jongmin, and Yoshimura, Kei, 2025. Spatial downscaling of GRACE terrestrial water storage anomalies for drought and flood potential assessment. Journal of Hydrology, 658:133144, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133144.

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BibTeX

@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..65833144Y,
       author = {{Yin}, Gaohong and {Park}, Jongmin and {Yoshimura}, Kei},
        title = "{Spatial downscaling of GRACE terrestrial water storage anomalies for drought and flood potential assessment}",
      journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
         year = 2025,
        month = sep,
       volume = {658},
          eid = {133144},
        pages = {133144},
     abstract = "{Terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) from the Gravity Recovery and
        Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission provides invaluable
        information for quantifying changes in freshwater availability.
        However, the coarse spatial resolution of GRACE TWSA limits its
        application to sub-regional studies. The study proposed a
        systematic framework to spatially downscale GRACE TWSA
        retrievals using a long short-term memory (LSTM) model over the
        Texas-Gulf Basin. A synthetic experiment was conducted to
        demonstrate the robustness of the downscaling framework. The
        real-world experiment revealed that the downscaled TWSA from
        LSTM can represent the variation of TWSA at the basin
        (R$_{LSTM}$ = 0.91) and sub-basin scales. The LSTM-based TWSA
        can better represent the early recovery from extreme droughts
        for the sub-basins along the coast. Moreover, the LSTM-based
        TWSA outperformed model-based TWSA in characterizing groundwater
        variation, especially for sub-basins with deep groundwater
        levels in the west. The flood analysis showed that the
        downscaled TWSA from LSTM yielded improved skill in predicting
        county-level floods, providing a larger true positive rate
        relative to GRACE TWSA retrievals (TPR$_{LSTM}$ = 0.36 and
        TPR$_{GRACE}$ = 0.31). Additionally, the trained LSTM models
        were used to predict fine-resolution TWSA without requiring
        GRACE observations. Results demonstrated that the accuracy of
        LSTM-based TWSA forecasts was slightly inferior to the
        downscaling case, but they still provided useful information for
        drought and flood predictions at sub-basin to local scales.}",
          doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133144},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..65833144Y},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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