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Unveiling the escalating impact of human activities on groundwater storage in ecologically fragile steppe, Northern China

Zhang, Xiao, Wu, Xiong, and Mu, Wenping, 2025. Unveiling the escalating impact of human activities on groundwater storage in ecologically fragile steppe, Northern China. Journal of Hydrology, 659:133296, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133296.

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@ARTICLE{2025JHyd..65933296Z,
       author = {{Zhang}, Xiao and {Wu}, Xiong and {Mu}, Wenping},
        title = "{Unveiling the escalating impact of human activities on groundwater storage in ecologically fragile steppe, Northern China}",
      journal = {Journal of Hydrology},
     keywords = {Groundwater storage decline, Driver identification, GRACE/FO missions, Land surface model, Machine learning, The steppe of Northern China},
         year = 2025,
        month = oct,
       volume = {659},
          eid = {133296},
        pages = {133296},
     abstract = "{Groundwater is essential for sustaining water supply security and
        ecosystem stability in arid and semi-arid ecologically fragile
        steppe areas, Northern China. However, the drivers of
        groundwater storage changes in this steppe remain unclear, and
        how climate change and human activities affect groundwater
        storage and their relative contributions are not well
        characterized because of the paucity of long-term observations.
        A more comprehensive understanding of the drivers of groundwater
        storage changes in large grassland areas and their quantitative
        contributions is needed as we strive to combat grassland sanding
        and protect groundwater resources. Here we leveraged NASA's
        GRACE/FO satellite data to estimate nearly two decades
        observations of groundwater storage and reveal significant
        groundwater storage depletion (‑4.4 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.1
        mm/yr; 0.89 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.02 km$^{3}$/yr, p < 0.05)
        driven by intensive human activities and climate change in this
        typical steppe areas of Northern China. We further integrated
        the land surface model that assimilated GRACE/FO data (i.e.,
        CLSM-DA) and machine learning to identify and quantify the
        relative contributions of various drivers to groundwater storage
        decline. The results indicate that water consumption due to coal
        mining, groundwater withdrawals, and other human activities
        significantly contributed to groundwater storage decline.
        Remarkably, escalating human activities have a significant
        impact on groundwater storage, accounting for nearly two-thirds
        of groundwater storage decline (‑2.8 {\ensuremath{\pm}} 0.2
        mm/yr, p < 0.05) over the past two decades. This study
        emphasized the pronounced impact of increasing human activities
        on groundwater storage decline, highlighting the urgency of
        valuing and protecting groundwater resources to better support
        ecological stability in ecologically fragile areas.}",
          doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133296},
       adsurl = {https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2025JHyd..65933296Z},
      adsnote = {Provided by the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System}
}

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